Bumper Global Almond Crop Forecast For New Season – Usda

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The US, nan world’s largest shaper and exporter of almonds, is forecasting a bumper world output for nan caller play supported by favourable weather.

For nan 2025-26 season, nan United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) estimates worldwide output of shelled almonds will turn by almost 10% to 1.8 cardinal metric tons.

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If that projection is realised, it would beryllium nan champion harvest since 2020-21, according to nan USDA’s study – Tree Nuts: World Markets and Trade – containing predictions for almonds and walnuts.

The US is expected to lead nan emergence successful almonds output, forecast arsenic an summation of 122,000 tons to 1.4m tons owed to “mild outpouring temperatures” and supportive rainfall.

Almond accumulation will besides beryllium propped up by EU personnel countries, chiefly Spain, on pinch Australia, but pinch output increasing by a “lesser extent” than nan US.

Shipments of almonds from nan EU are projected to emergence to 275,000 tons and summation from India to 180,000 tons.

Meanwhile, world gains successful almond exports will beryllium offset by China, wherever imports are apt to driblet by astir 25% to 100,000 tons owed to “reduced shipments” from nan US, nan USDA projected, without specifying a reason.

For shelled walnuts, China and nan US are nan world’s largest producers – 1.6m tons and 547,033 tons, respectively, successful 2024-25.

While world walnut accumulation is forecast to emergence 3% to 2.7m tons successful nan caller season, output from China is expected to beryllium level “as higher yields successful Xinjiang state are offset by little yields successful Yunnan, Shanxi, and Shaanxi provinces”, according to nan USDA.

The US is expected to nutrient astir 100,000 tons much walnuts to springiness a full output of 644,000 tons.

Global exports of walnuts are projected to besides emergence 3% to scope an all-time precocious of 1.2m tons, led by shipments from nan US to India, Turkey and nan EU.

“China’s exports surged past twelvemonth and are expected to stay elevated connected dependable shipments to nan European Union and Turkey, offset somewhat by weaker request successful nan United Arab Emirates and Kyrgyzstan,” nan USDA explained.

The Tree Nuts study besides takes successful pistachios but nan USDA was incapable to supply an outlook because information from nan US is not yet available.

However, it noted that world pistachios accumulation for 2024-25 grew 10% to 1.2m tons for nuts successful nan ammunition supported by Turkey, Iran and Syria.

World pistachio exports reached an all-time precocious of 650,000 tons connected “strong shipments from Iran” but dropped 20% retired of nan US to 350,000 tons amid “lower disposable supplies”.