Vaping May Be Reversing Decades Of Progress Against Youth Smoking

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Despite decades of progress, vaping has reignited teen smoking risk, putting today's e-cigarette users backmost wherever younker started successful 1974.

Two young girls fume physics cigarettesStudy: Risk of teen cigaret usage successful 3 UK commencement cohorts earlier and aft e-cigarettes. Image credit: Aleksandr Yu/Shutterstock.com

Introduction

Teenage smoking has declined sharply complete nan past 25 years, owed chiefly to successful anti-smoking policies and efforts, coupled pinch rising acquisition levels and little smoking rates among parents. However, physics cigaret (e-cigarette) usage (vaping) has go hugely celebrated among modern youth. A study published successful BMJ Journals indicates that teen vaping is associated pinch accrued baccy cigaret usage and whitethorn lead to dual usage (both vaping and cigaret smoking) later successful life.

However, while vaping is associated pinch a greater consequence of smoking, nan guidance of causality remains unclear.

The existent study explored whether teen vaping is linked to rising aliases falling smoking rates among youth. It compared nan chances of cigaret smoking crossed 3 cohorts spanning 1974 to 2018. These see 3 generations of adolescents, opening pinch those who were vaping-naïve and unexposed to baccy power policies and interventions, and ending pinch much caller generations.

About nan study

The information came from 3 UK commencement cohorts (1958, 1970, and 2001). This agelong play made it imaginable to trace nan autumn successful teen cigaret smoking complete time, while signaling nan relation of rising trends pinch e-cigarette usage (vaping) successful nan youngest cohort. The latest cohort was nan Millennium Cohort Study (MCS), during whose puerility vapes appeared connected nan market.

In contrast, nan National Child Development Study (NCDS) includes adolescents who lived done nan play erstwhile smoking was astatine its peak. The British Cohort Study (BCS) consists of those exposed to wide smoking successful childhood, but to vaping only successful their 40s.

Adolescent cigaret smoking successful 1974, 1986, and 2018 was captured by self-report astatine property 16, 16, and 17 years, respectively, successful each cohort. Vaping astatine property 17 was besides captured by self-report successful nan MCS.

Study findings

In 1974, 33% of teens smoked, falling to 25% successful 1986 and to a debased of 12% complete nan adjacent 2 decades, by 2018.

Interestingly, each 3 cohorts had akin puerility consequence factors for smoking successful later adolescence. These included debased schoolhouse engagement, drinking by property 16 aliases 17, verbal ability, and externalizing behaviors reported by nan mother aliases superior caregiver. The second included being fidgety, disobedient, restless, and hot-tempered.

While 94% of teens successful nan NCDS cohort said they had drunk intoxicant by 16 aliases 17, this fell somewhat to 83% successful nan MCS cohort. Smoking by parents fell from 70% to 27%, respectively. Maternal baccy usage successful gestation besides declined successful nan latest cohort.

In each cohort, drinking by 16 aliases 17 predicted a three- to four-fold smoking risk, compared to non-drinkers. More externalizing behaviour accrued nan likelihood by up to 34%. Poor schoolhouse engagement and debased verbal expertise were besides universally associated pinch higher smoking risk. Parental jobs, education, and smoking habits had little accordant effects.

For nan youngest cohort, nan beingness of vaping stood retired arsenic a determinant of cigaret smoking. Youngsters successful nan MCS cohort who did not vape had a 1.4% chance of smoking, vs 33% among existent vaping youth. Surprisingly, this is higher than nan consequence successful nan NCDS (32%) aliases BCS (22%) cohorts.

In different words, MCS adolescents who presently vape person a smoking consequence astatine nan level of 1974, good earlier anti-tobacco efforts took off. Even those who had only experimented pinch e-cigarettes had a 12.7% consequence of smoking, compared to 1.4% among those who had ne'er utilized them.

Compared to past aliases experimental users, existent vapers had 3.3 times greater likelihood of smoking cigarettes, while never-users had 90% little likelihood of smoking.

Conclusions

It is captious to analyse nan domiciled of vaping successful adolescence successful later decisions to fume aliases perchance prosecute successful dual use.

The historical diminution successful smoking is visible successful nan astir caller commencement cohort, but it is strikingly reversed among existent e-cigarette users, who dress up astir 11% of nan cohort. Smoking prevalence remained very debased among nan remainder of nan cohort, peculiarly those who ne'er vaped.

E-cigarette usage has emerged arsenic a beardown marker for accrued smoking risk, moreover though vaping was initially thought of arsenic having small threat to youth.

The authors be aware that nan study is observational and cannot find causality, particularly since nan timing of vaping versus smoking initiation is not established. Yet nan consistency of trends crossed nan 3 cohorts strengthens assurance successful nan patterns observed.

Given that nan existent summation successful smoking consequence is successful opposition to nan betterment successful different consequence factors, nan findings propose that vaping whitethorn beryllium undermining nan advancement of successive nationalist wellness and anti-tobacco policies implemented complete 5 decades.

“Policy and prevention should activity to forestall teen nicotine vulnerability via some physics and combustible cigarettes.” Youngsters who vape should beryllium targeted explicitly by baccy power interventions, coupled pinch beardown anti-vaping preventive efforts.

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Journal reference:

  • Mongilio, J. M., Staff, J., Seto, C. H., et al. (2025). Risk of teen cigaret usage successful 3 UK commencement cohorts earlier and aft e-cigarettes. Tobacco Control. doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/tc-2024-059212. https://tobaccocontrol.bmj.com/content/early/2025/07/23/tc-2024-059212
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