Takeaways From Trump's Latest Interview And How His Bill Plays In The States: From The Politics Desk

Welcome to nan online type of From nan Politics Desk, an evening newsletter that brings you nan NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and study from nan White House, Capitol Hill and nan run trail.

In today’s edition, Adam Edelman looks astatine nan bluish states seeking speedy action to set their budgets pursuing nan transition of President Donald Trump's large home argumentation legislation. Plus, Kristen Welker analyzes nan cardinal takeaways from her question and reply pinch Trump.

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— Scott Bland

Blue-state leaders measurement caller laws to woody pinch financial fallout from Trump's large bill

By Adam Edelman

State lawmakers are scrambling to woody pinch nan expected financial fallout from President Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act, pinch galore successful bluish states demanding typical legislative sessions they opportunity are basal to statement up backing for wellness attraction and food assistance programs affected by nan caller law.

Democratic governors successful astatine slightest 5 states are weighing specified typical sessions, and Democratic lawmakers successful respective much are urging their governors to convene them to reside expected backing shortfalls.

In Colorado, Democratic Gov. Jared Polis’ Office of State Planning and Budgeting has projected that nan authorities would person astir $500 cardinal little successful gross yearly — and could spot astir nan aforesaid magnitude successful further costs — because of nan caller law’s effect connected Medicaid and nutrient assistance.

Democratic authorities Sen. Iman Jodeh said a typical convention is “absolutely necessary” to woody pinch nan state’s caller financial landscape, predicting that it was “imminent” that Polis convenes one.

“We person to do it,” said Jodeh, a personnel of nan Senate Health and Human Services Committee. “Our fund conscionable cannot sorb nan backfill, nan shortfall, nan cuts.”

Polis spokesperson Shelby Wieman said successful email that Polis “has antecedently indicated we whitethorn request to reconvene nan General Assembly to woody pinch nan unspeakable impacts from nan measure — and we are still reviewing nan impacts of this caller rule to measure adjacent steps, including a imaginable typical session.”

Jodeh said that because of Colorado’s unsocial Taxpayer Bill of Rights — a 1992 measurement that efficaciously limits really overmuch nan authorities tin raise taxes — it will beryllium exceedingly difficult for Democrats, contempt their power of nan governorship and some legislative chambers, to debar mostly cutting and freezing societal programs to reside nan expected shortfalls.

“We’re each incredibly frightened astir really we tin perchance navigate this,” she said. “What are those programs that we’re going to person to frost aliases defund aliases do distant pinch altogether? Those will beryllium nan questions that we’re going to person to reply during nan typical session.”

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y takeaways from my question and reply pinch Trump

Analysis by Kristen Welker

I said pinch President Donald Trump yesterday in a wide-ranging 20-minute telephone call, wherever we discussed his attack to tariffs, his consequence to nan devastating floods successful Texas, his views of nan ongoing warfare betwixt Russia and Ukraine, and more.

One cardinal takeaway from our speech is that nan president signaled he is looking to pivot from argumentation to authorities now that his sweeping taxation and spending proposal, which he dubbed nan One Big Beautiful Bill, has go law.

I asked Trump if he plans to deed nan roadworthy to talk astir nan measurement and he said “a small bit,” later adding, “But honestly, it’s been received truthful good I don’t deliberation I person to, but a small bit. And surely earlier midterms we’ll beryllium doing a batch but a small bit.”

That attraction connected adjacent year’s midterm elections underscores nan reliable conflict up for nan GOP arsenic it tries to clasp onto its constrictive majorities successful some chambers. Democrats request to nett conscionable 3 seats to flip nan House and 4 seats to return power of nan Senate — a tougher task fixed nan wide thin of nan states holding Senate races adjacent year. And Democrats scheme to run connected nan sweeping taxation and spending measure, emphasizing cuts to Medicaid.

But nan president did not look overly concerned that his statement would suffer seats successful Congress.

“They said that astir 2024 too. They said, ‘We’re going to triumph seats,’” Trump said of Democrats. “They didn’t. They said — we’re going to do awesome successful nan presidency, and I won each 7 plaything states, won nan celebrated ballot by millions, etc. So you know, they ever opportunity that. They’ve mislaid their way. They’ve mislaid their minds, and they’ve mislaid their way, not needfully successful that order.”

Meanwhile, nan president is stepping a good statement pinch his MAGA supporters, who Republicans request to move retired successful droves to clasp onto power of Congress adjacent year.

These voters person much isolationist views of overseas policy, creating immoderate hostility erstwhile it comes to assistance to Ukraine. Trump made immoderate news connected that beforehand yesterday, erstwhile he stressed that NATO, not nan U.S., would beryllium covering nan costs of further weapons for Ukraine.

“We’re sending weapons to NATO, and NATO is paying for those weapons, 100%,” Trump told me. “So what we’re doing is nan weapons that are going retired are going to NATO, and past NATO is going to beryllium giving those weapons and NATO is paying for those weapons.”

“We are not paying for immoderate much weapons,” nan president later added.

The specifications of that statement pinch NATO are still unclear, though nan president did tease a “major statement” connected Russia coming connected Monday.

NATO spokesperson Allison Hart responded to Trump’s comments successful a connection connected Friday. “Allies proceed to activity to guarantee Ukraine has nan support they request to take sides themselves against Russia’s aggression. This includes urgent efforts to procure cardinal supplies from nan United States, including aerial defence and ammunition,” she said.

We’ll delve much into each of this connected Sunday’s “Meet nan Press,” wherever I’ll speak to Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Republican Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming, and Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear of Kentucky.

✉️ Mailbag: When do nan provisions of Trump's caller rule spell into effect?

Thanks to everyone who emailed us! This week’s scholar question, from Cindy Scruggs, is astir really Trump’s large home argumentation rule will beryllium implemented.

“Knowing that galore of nan cuts will beryllium put into effect aft nan 2026 elections, what parts of nan measure aliases associated fallout (if any) will hap earlier nan midterms?”

One of our Congress experts, elder nationalist governmental newsman Sahil Kapur, provided an answer:

This is an important and somewhat analyzable question.

The short reply is that Republicans backloaded nan astir important cuts nether Medicaid, SNAP and nan Affordable Care Act until aft nan 2026 election.

That was a deliberate effort to negociate governmental symptom — hard-right Republicans wanted nan Medicaid activity requirements to return effect correct away, but nan statement reached a woody to trigger them connected nan past time of 2026, conscionable weeks aft nan midterms.

Some GOP lawmakers person told america they judge (or hope) this will insulate them successful nan 2026 elections.

Beyond that, galore of nan law’s cutbacks are phased successful complete nan coming decade. As KFF wellness argumentation master Larry Levitt put it to me, “There’s not going to beryllium a time wherever we aftermath up and location are abruptly millions much group without wellness insurance.”

That said, immoderate effects will still beryllium felt beforehand. There are already reports of astatine slightest 1 infirmary successful Nebraska shutting down, citing the “anticipated national fund cuts to Medicaid,” a immense root of backing for hospitals.

Sometimes, anticipation of an unpopular law taking effect tin make for effective politicking: Republicans made Democrats paid a dense governmental value successful nan 2010 midterms for nan then-unpopular Affordable Care Act, moreover though it hadn’t kicked successful yet. In 2018, immense swaths of voters hardly felt nan benefits of nan Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which Trump sold arsenic nan top taxation trim successful history, and House Democrats won 40 seats successful that year’s midterm election.

Finally, nan impacts of Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” will surely beryllium felt by nan 2028 statesmanlike election, and if this rule takes effect arsenic designed, Democrats are judge to make that an issue.

That’s each From nan Politics Desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Scott Bland and Dylan Ebs.

If you person feedback — likes aliases dislikes — email america astatine politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com

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