Nbc News Exit Poll: Voters Disapprove Of Trump In New Jersey, Virginia And Other Key Races

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In nan first awesome elections of President Donald Trump’s 2nd term, voters successful Virginia, New Jersey, California and New York City are expressing wide dissatisfaction pinch Trump — and pinch some governmental parties, according to early results from nan NBC News Exit Poll.

Most voters successful those elections are dissatisfied pinch nan measurement things are going successful nan state today, and they proceed to definitive interest astir financial issues and nan economy.

The governor’s races successful New Jersey and Virginia, arsenic good arsenic a intimately watched mayoral predetermination successful New York City and nan redistricting ballot measurement successful California, item nan first large Election Day of Trump’s 2nd term.

The results of Tuesday night’s elections will connection an early, though limited, model into really voters consciousness astir his efforts to reshape Washington and nan country, providing clues for candidates connected some sides up of pivotal midterm elections adjacent year.

How is Trump handling his 2nd word successful office?

The president’s wide occupation support is underwater among voters casting ballots for politician successful New Jersey and Virginia — 2 states that person voted against Trump each clip he’s tally for president. Majorities of voters who turned retired for these 2025 contests disapprove of nan measurement Trump is handling his occupation arsenic president: 55% successful New Jersey, 56% successful Virginia.

In nan New York City mayoral race, conscionable 29% of voters o.k. of Trump, according to nan exit poll, arsenic do 36% successful California. There, nan Proposition 50 ballot measurement will determine whether nan authorities will alteration its legislature representation successful consequence to Republican-led redistricting pushed by Trump successful Texas and different states.

How do voters spot nan Democratic and Republican Parties?

Beyond views of nan existent president, neither nan Republican nor Democratic Party are seen successful peculiarly affirmative position among voters who formed ballots successful this years’ races.

In Virginia, New Jersey, and California, much voters expressed unfavorable than favorable views of nan Democratic Party. Views of nan Republican Party are not rather arsenic negative, but still, nan statement was not seen successful favorable position by a mostly successful immoderate authorities surveyed.

A grim nationalist outlook

Voters picking caller governors successful New Jersey and Virginia besides expressed interest astir nan measurement things are going successful nan state these days.

In New Jersey, 65% said they are angry aliases dissatisfied pinch nan guidance of nan state and only 33% said they are satisfied aliases enthusiastic.

In Virginia, 63% said they are angry aliases dissatisfied astir nan guidance of nan country, compared pinch conscionable 35% who had a affirmative position of nan country.

Economic concerns and nan costs of living

Voters successful each of nan states surveyed complete nan past respective weeks said economical issues — aliases nan costs of surviving — were nan astir important issues facing their state. In Virginia and California, nan system topped nan database of voters’ concerns. And successful New York City, 56% of voters said nan costs of surviving was nan astir important rumor facing nan city. In New Jersey, taxes and nan system some classed precocious connected voters’ database of concerns.

Financial worries came done arsenic voters described their ain family’s individual financial situations. In each authorities surveyed, astir voters said they were either “holding steady” aliases actively falling down financially. Far smaller shares successful immoderate authorities aliases locality said they were “getting ahead.”

In respective states, voters constituent to circumstantial financial pains

In New Jersey, a mostly of voters said spot taxes and energy costs were “major” problems successful their state. Overall, 60% said nan state’s system is not truthful bully aliases poor. Only 38% said nan authorities system was bully aliases excellent.

In Virginia, wherever nan authorities shutdown and national authorities cuts affected galore families this year, 6-in-10 said national authorities cuts this twelvemonth affected their family’s finances a batch (20%) aliases a small (39%).

A ample mostly of New York City voters said nan costs of surviving was nan astir important rumor facing nan city: 72% said nan costs of lodging was a awesome problem, and 65% said nan city’s system was not truthful bully aliases poor.

Trump connected immigration

Trump said he won successful 2024 because of the separator and market prices. But voters coming are divided connected Trump’s actions connected immigration.

A slim mostly of voters successful New Jersey and Virginia said that nan Trump administration’s actions connected migration enforcement person gone excessively far, while acold smaller shares opportunity they person been astir correct aliases not gone acold enough.

Still, galore voters are divided connected really their state’s authorities should cooperate pinch nan national authorities connected immigration. In New Jersey, voters were much apt to opportunity nan adjacent politician should not cooperate pinch Trump — though these views were divided by campaigner preference.

In New York City, 61% said nan adjacent politician should not cooperate pinch Trump connected migration enforcement.

In California, 59% said Gov. Gavin Newsom, nan Democrat starring nan Proposition 50 fight, should not cooperate pinch nan Trump management connected migration enforcement.

The NBC News Exit Poll is conducted by SSRS, an independent investigation company, connected behalf of ABC, The Associated Press, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and NBC. The networks together hole nan questionnaire. More accusation astir SSRS tin beryllium obtained by visiting www.ssrs.com.

The 2025 poll, conducted from October 22nd -November 4th, includes typical samples of registered voters successful California (n=~4,000), New Jersey (n=~4,000), New York City (n=~3,700), and Virginia (n=~4,000). The Voter Poll combines information collected from verified registered voters online and by telephone, pinch information collected in-person from Election Day voters astatine 30 precincts per state/city, excluding California. Respondents tin complete nan canvass successful English aliases Spanish. The wide separator of sampling correction for voters, accounting for creation effects, is expected to beryllium astir positive aliases minus 2 percent points successful California, 2.1 percent points successful New Jersey, 2.2 percent points successful New York City, and 2.1 percent points successful Virginia.

Stephanie Perry is nan head of exit polling astatine NBC News.

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