England Or Spain? Brown-finnis' Euro 2025 Final Prediction

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Rachel Brown-Finnis Euro 2025 predictions graphic

There is conscionable 1 much crippled to go, but will Euro 2025 extremity pinch nan holders retaining nan title - aliases a first for nan world champions?

BBC Sport shot master Rachel Brown-Finnis maintained her 100% grounds successful nan knockout stages by correctly backing England and Spain to scope Sunday's last astatine St Jakob-Park successful Basel.

Brown-Finnis is predicting nan result of each 31 games successful Switzerland against BBC readers, and been correct astir 22 retired of 30 truthful acold (73%).

You were besides correct astir some semi-finals, meaning your wide full is 20/30 (67%).

Out of a mixed full of 100,000 predictions by BBC readers for some games, 87% thought England would hit Italy and 80% expected Spain to get past Germany.

Who will you beryllium backing successful nan final? You tin make your ain predictions below.

Rachel Brown-Finnis was speaking to BBC Sport's Chris Bevan.

Final

  • 27 July, 17:00 BST

  • St Jakob-Park, Basel

  • World ranking: 5th v 2nd

  • Best erstwhile Euros finish: England - winners 2022. Spain - semi-finals 1997.

Watch unrecorded connected BBC One, iPlayer and nan BBC Sport website; unrecorded commentary connected Radio 5 Live and BBC Sounds.

England will cognize they tin play overmuch amended than they did successful their quarter-final and semi-final wins complete Sweden and Italy, and occurrence connected Sunday is simply a matter of them bringing their champion crippled from nan first 2nd to nan last.

Against a squad arsenic bully arsenic Spain, they cannot spend immoderate protect mistakes - they person to beryllium perfectly watertight astatine nan back.

Germany defended superbly against Spain successful their semi-final and goalkeeper Ann-Katrin Berger had a superb tournament. But she made 1 correction astatine nan very extremity and that was each it took for them to spell out.

Spain person truthful galore world-class players and arguably nan champion successful Aitana Bonmati, that they tin return advantage of immoderate error.

England won't beryllium acrophobic of them, though. There is nary chance of that.

From nan outside, beating nan world champions mightiness look for illustration a daunting task. Spain were nan amended broadside erstwhile they hit nan Lionesses successful nan 2023 World Cup last and they person won 10 games successful a statement - a tally that includes triumph complete England nan past clip they met, successful June.

But Spain's past defeat, successful February, came against nan Lionesses astatine Wembley. Having a caller consequence for illustration that to thin connected for reassurance is immense up of an juncture for illustration this.

I look backmost astatine that crippled and deliberation England tin do it this clip excessively - and nan players will 100% judge it arsenic well.

Media caption,

Bonmatí sends Spain to Euro 2025 last to look England

Germany showed England nan way?

Rewatching Germany's semi-final against Spain would beryllium nan cleanable mentation for England, surely successful position of seeing a strategy that will let them to get astatine their opponents.

Germany were good organised astatine nan backmost but besides created a number of chances too. England request to do precisely nan aforesaid to compression Spain, but past beryllium much objective erstwhile they get their ain opportunities, which they will.

It's rather easy to spot wherever Spain's vulnerability could beryllium - they play a precocious statement astatine nan backmost truthful you tin wounded them pinch speedy attacks and gait successful behind.

So, you are looking astatine nan gait of Chloe Kelly and Lauren Hemp being cardinal for nan Lionesses, pinch Alessia Russo making accelerated guardant runs arsenic well.

Goalkeeper Hannah Hampton tin play a portion too, if you retrieve nan extremity England scored against nan Netherlands successful nan group stage, wherever she played a agelong shot to Russo who group up Lauren James for a stunning onslaught from nan separator of nan area.

Media caption,

'Lionesses person assistance off!' James fires England ahead

We person seen already really goalkeepers person often been nan players who person decided nan tightest of matches, whether successful punishment shootouts aliases unfastened play, truthful Hampton's wide capacity is apt to beryllium important if England are going to win.

She has been coagulated truthful acold astatine these Euros - superb pinch her feet and very bully pinch her hands. Hampton has commanded her area excessively and seems to beryllium gaining assurance pinch each match.

If it comes down to a conflict betwixt her and Spain's Cata Coll, I would backmost Hampton each nan way.

I want to spot Coll tested, because I don't deliberation that has happened overmuch truthful acold successful Switzerland - Spain person not travel nether excessively overmuch unit successful immoderate of their games.

One measurement of doing that would beryllium pinch our set-piece deliveries. Spain person looked a small rusty erstwhile they person faced them and I would not beryllium amazed if a free-kick aliases area leads to an England extremity connected Sunday.

Media caption,

'Sorry England fans, you've sewage different breathtaking crippled to come!'

The verdict?

I person said England will triumph Euro 2025 from nan commencement and I americium not changing my mind now.

I've not conscionable been backing them blindly arsenic they person gone done nan tourney either. They've fundamentally been playing knockout shot since losing their opening group crippled to France, but person had nan mentality to lick each problem they person faced.

Their advancement has not precisely been straightforward but Sarina Wiegman keeps coming up pinch a measurement of winning, and I judge she will do nan aforesaid against Spain.

It is going to beryllium highly close, of course, because location is truthful small betwixt nan 2 teams, but I deliberation nan Lionesses will triumph by 1 goal.

After needing penalties successful nan quarter-finals and extra-time successful nan semi-finals, this clip I tin spot them getting nan occupation done successful 90 minutes.

Brown-Finnis' prediction: 2-1

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