Does Winning Community Shield Lead To Good Season?

Premier League champions Liverpool return connected FA Cup winners Crystal Palace successful nan Community Shield - but would occurrence astatine Wembley connected Sunday bespeak a successful play ahead?

Only 1 of nan past 14 winners of nan play opener person gone connected to assistance nan Premier League trophy astatine nan extremity of nan campaign.

And what of nan goalscorers?

BBC Sport crunches nan numbers of caller Community aliases Charity Shields to spot what we tin learn.

The reply to this mobility is amazingly no.

In nan Premier League era, only 8 of nan 33 winners of nan Charity aliases Community Shield person gone connected to triumph nan title.

And 5 of those happened successful a six-year spell from 2005 until 2010.

Manchester City, successful 2019, were nan past squad to do truthful - and earlier that it was Sir Alex Ferguson's Manchester United successful 2011.

In fact, since 1992 nan teams who suffer nan Community Shield person won much convention titles that play - 10 successful total, including City for 3 years successful a statement betwixt 2021 and 2023.

Last twelvemonth City hit rivals Manchester United to triumph nan curtain-raiser, but ended up having their worst play since 2016-17.

Some 45% of nan clip (15/33) nan upcoming season's Premier League winners had not been progressive successful nan Community Shield.

And 55% of nan clip (18/33) nan Shield winners person vanished supra nan losers successful nan convention that season.

On 10 occasions nan 2 teams person vanished arsenic nan apical 2 successful nan Premier League - pinch 4 of those times being nan Shield winners apical and nan losers arsenic runners-up.

The different mobility is really galore Community Shields are won by nan erstwhile season's Premier League winners.

The reply is 18 retired of 33 times - truthful 55%.

But a origin for optimism for Crystal Palace is that nan FA Cup winners person won 7 of nan past 11 Shields, thing that had only happened 5 times successful nan erstwhile 22.

And connected 3 occasions successful nan Premier League era, neither nan convention nor cup winners person won it.

Arsenal (1999 and 2023) and Manchester United (2010) qualified arsenic Premier League runners-up and hit nan Double winners successful nan game.

This 1 is simply a spot of a mixed bag.

In 2023 Cole Palmer netted for Manchester City successful their crippled against Arsenal (a lucifer they would spell connected to suffer connected penalties aft Leandro Trossard's injury-time equaliser).

He would spell connected to people 22 Premier League goals and beryllium named young subordinate of nan season... for Chelsea, having joined them for £42.5m.

The erstwhile season, Darwin Nunez scored connected his Liverpool debut - and Erling Haaland grounded to notch connected his City bow.

That led to post-match chat astir Nunez looking nan amended player.

However, Haaland went connected to 52 goals that season, pinch Nunez netting only 15.

Kelechi Iheanacho only scored 4 Premier League goals aft his 2021 Community Shield winner.

But backmost successful 2019 Raheem Sterling's Shield onslaught for City against erstwhile nine Liverpool kick-started nan astir productive play of his profession (31 goals).