Ai Spots Hidden Diabetes Risk Even When Test Results Look Normal

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Millions whitethorn beryllium missing early glucosuria risk. AI models show why your humor sweetener spikes mightiness matter much than your trial results.

 Andrey_Popov / ShutterstockStudy: Multimodal AI correlates of glucose spikes successful group pinch normal glucose regulation, pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes. Image Credit: Andrey_Popov / Shutterstock

In a caller article published successful nan journal Nature Medicine, researchers analyzed information from complete 2,400 group crossed 2 cohorts to place patterns successful glucose spikes and create personalized glycemic consequence profiles.

They discovered important differences successful glucose spike patterns betwixt people pinch type 2 diabetes (T2D) and those pinch prediabetes aliases normoglycemia. Their multimodal consequence exemplary could thief practitioners place prediabetic individuals astatine higher consequence of processing T2D.

Diabetes and prediabetes impact a ample conception of nan big American population, yet modular diagnostic devices for illustration glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and fasting glucose neglect to bespeak nan afloat complexity of glucose regulation.

Many factors, including stress, microbiome composition, sleep, beingness activity, genetics, diet, and age, tin power humor glucose fluctuations, peculiarly post-meal spikes (defined arsenic a emergence of astatine slightest 30 mg/dL wrong 90 minutes), which person been observed moreover successful seemingly patient individuals.

Previous studies person explored these variations utilizing continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), but their scope was constricted to prediabetic and normoglycemic individuals, often lacking practice from underrepresented groups successful biomedical research.

To reside this gap, nan PROGRESS study conducted a nationwide, distant objective proceedings involving 1,137 divers participants (48.1% from groups historically underrepresented successful biomedical research) ranging from normoglycemia to T2D. The researchers collected a wide scope of self-reported and sensor-based data, including physiological, lifestyle, biological, demographic, and objective information.

This multimodal attack allowed nan improvement of a much nuanced knowing of glycemic power and individual variability successful glucose spikes.

The study aimed to create broad glycemic consequence profiles that could amended early discovery and involution for prediabetic individuals astatine consequence of progressing to diabetes, offering a personalized replacement to accepted diagnostic metrics for illustration HbA1c.

Researchers utilized information from 2 cohorts: PROGRESS (a U.S.-based integer objective trial) and HPP (an Israeli observational study). PROGRESS enrolled adults pinch and without T2D for 10 days of CGM, while collecting information connected gut microbiome, genomics, bosom rate, sleep, diet, and activity.

Participants besides provided stool, blood, and saliva samples from location and shared their physics wellness records. Exclusion criteria included conditions for illustration caller antibiotic use, pregnancy, type 1 diabetes, and different wellness factors that mightiness interfere pinch CGM aliases metabolism. Recruitment was wholly distant utilizing societal media and physics wellness grounds invitations.

CGM information were processed into one-minute intervals, and glucose spikes were defined utilizing circumstantial thresholds. Six cardinal glycemic metrics were calculated, including mean glucose, clip successful hyperglycemia, and spike duration.

Lifestyle information were gathered utilizing a nutrient logging app and wearable trackers. Genomic and microbiome information were analyzed utilizing modular tools, and composite metrics for illustration polygenic consequence scores and microbiome diverseness were calculated.

A instrumentality learning exemplary was developed to measure T2D consequence based connected multimodal information (demographics, anthropometrics, CGM, nutrient intake, and gut microbiome), and its capacity was tested successful some PROGRESS and HPP cohorts. Statistical analyses included study of covariance, Spearman correlations, and bootstrapping for value testing and exemplary evaluation.

From nan 1,137 enrolled participants, 347 were included successful nan last analysis, of whom 174 were normoglycemic, 79 were prediabetic, and 94 had T2D.

Researchers observed important differences successful glucose spike metrics crossed glucosuria states, specified arsenic nocturnal hypoglycemia, spike solution time, mean glucose level, and clip spent successful hyperglycemia. These differences were astir pronounced betwixt T2D and nan different groups, pinch prediabetic individuals showing metrics statistically person to normoglycemia than to T2D for cardinal measures for illustration spike wave and intensity.

Gut microbiome diverseness was negatively correlated pinch astir glucose spike metrics, suggesting a healthier microbiome floor plan is linked to amended glucose control.

Higher resting bosom rate, assemblage wide scale (BMI), and HbA1c were associated pinch poorer glycemic outcomes, while beingness activity was linked to much favorable glucose patterns. Interestingly, higher carbohydrate intake was associated pinch quicker spike solution but much predominant and aggravated spikes.

The squad developed a binary classification exemplary based connected multimodal information that distinguished normoglycemic from T2D individuals pinch precocious accuracy. When applied to nan outer dataset (HPP), nan exemplary retained beardown performance, and it successfully identified important variability successful consequence levels among prediabetic individuals pinch akin HbA1c values.

These findings propose that multimodal glycemic profiling tin heighten consequence prediction and individual monitoring beyond modular diagnostic tools, particularly for prediabetes.

The study highlights that accepted glucosuria diagnostics, specified arsenic HbA1c, neglect to seizure individual variations successful glucose metabolism.

By utilizing CGM alongside multimodal information based connected genomics, lifestyle, and microbiome, researchers identified important differences successful glucose spikes crossed normoglycemic, prediabetic, and T2D individuals, pinch prediabetes showing stronger similarity to normoglycemia than to T2D successful respective cardinal metrics.

The developed instrumentality learning-driven multimodal consequence model, validated successful an outer cohort, revealed wide variability successful consequence among prediabetic individuals pinch identical HbA1c levels, supporting its added worth complete modular metrics.

Strengths see nan decentralized, divers PROGRESS cohort (with 48.1% practice from underrepresented groups) and real-world information collection. However, limitations impact imaginable biases from instrumentality variability, inaccuracies successful ty, self-reported biases, nutrient logging challenges, and usage of antihyperglycemic medications.

Broader validation and longitudinal investigation are needed to corroborate predictive inferior and objective relevance.

Ultimately, this study demonstrates nan imaginable of remote, multimodal information to heighten early detection, prediabetes consequence stratification, and personalized prevention of T2D, paving nan measurement for much precise and inclusive glucosuria care.

Journal reference:

  • Multimodal AI correlates of glucose spikes successful group pinch normal glucose regulation, pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes. Carletti, M., Pandit, J., Gadeleta, M., Chiang, D., Delgado, F., Quartuccio, K., Fernandez, B., Garay, J.A.R., Torkamani, A., Miotto, R., Rossman, H., Berk, B., Baca-Motes, K., Kheterpal, V., Segal, E., Topol, E.J., Ramos, E., Quer, G. Nature Medicine (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s41591-025-03849-7, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-025-03849-7
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